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India Recommends Anti-Dumping Duty on Indonesian Paperboard

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India has recommended anti-dumping duties of up to USD 376 per metric tonne on virgin multi-layer paperboard imports from Indonesia, in a move aimed at protecting domestic paper manufacturers from cheap foreign competition. The India anti-dumping paperboard duty recommendation follows a formal investigation by the Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR), which found that Indonesian exports were being dumped at prices below fair market value, causing material injury to domestic producers.

The recommendation covers virgin multi-layer paperboard used in packaging applications including folding carton boxes, food service boards, and pharmaceutical packaging. Indian producers including ITC Paper, Century Pulp and Paper, and West Coast Paper have been among the key petitioners seeking protection from surging low-priced Indonesian imports, which had increased significantly over the past two years.

Why Is India Imposing Anti-Dumping Duties on Indonesian Paperboard?

India anti-dumping paperboard duties on Indonesian imports are being recommended because DGTR’s investigation found that Indonesian producers, including Asia Pulp and Paper (APP) group companies, were exporting multi-layer paperboard at prices significantly below their cost of production — a practice defined as dumping under WTO norms. The influx of cheap Indonesian paperboard had depressed domestic prices, squeezed margins for Indian mills, and led to underutilisation of installed capacity at several plants. The recommended duty of up to USD 376/MT is designed to level the playing field and restore market equilibrium.

How Will This Affect India’s Domestic Paper and Packaging Industry?

If implemented by the Ministry of Finance, the anti-dumping duty will provide significant relief to India’s paperboard manufacturers, allowing them to price competitively without being undercut by subsidised Indonesian exports. Indian mills had been operating at 70–75% capacity utilisation in the multi-layer paperboard segment, well below the 85–90% considered optimal for profitability. The duty could add USD 30–50/MT to the landed cost of Indonesian paperboard, making domestic alternatives more attractive for Indian packaging converters and FMCG companies.

Market Reaction and Industry Response

Shares of domestic paper companies rose modestly following the DGTR recommendation, with ITC and West Coast Paper seeing positive sentiment. The Indian Paper Manufacturers Association (IPMA) welcomed the move, calling it a “necessary step to ensure fair competition.” However, packaging converters and FMCG companies that import Indonesian paperboard have expressed concern about potential cost increases, especially given ongoing margin pressure from EPR compliance costs and energy price volatility. The final duty notification requires Ministry of Finance approval and could take 3–6 months.

What Happens Next?

The Ministry of Finance will review the DGTR’s recommendation and issue a final notification, which could impose definitive anti-dumping duties for five years. In the interim, provisional duties may be applied. Indonesia’s industry associations are expected to challenge the findings at the WTO Dispute Settlement mechanism, potentially delaying full implementation. For Indian paper mills, the next key milestone will be Q3 FY2026-27 capacity utilisation data — a key metric that will determine whether the duty has the intended market-stabilising effect.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is India’s anti-dumping duty on Indonesian paperboard?

India’s Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR) has recommended anti-dumping duties of up to USD 376 per metric tonne on virgin multi-layer paperboard imports from Indonesia. The duties are intended to protect domestic manufacturers from cheap Indonesian exports sold below fair market value, and require final notification by the Ministry of Finance before taking effect.

Which Indian companies benefit from the anti-dumping duty on paperboard?

The primary beneficiaries are domestic multi-layer paperboard manufacturers including ITC Paper, Century Pulp and Paper, and West Coast Paper, who were among the petitioners that filed for anti-dumping protection. The duty is expected to allow these companies to improve capacity utilisation from current levels of 70–75% toward the 85–90% optimal range.

How much will the anti-dumping duty increase the cost of paperboard in India?

The recommended duty of up to USD 376/MT could add approximately USD 30–50 per MT to the landed cost of Indonesian paperboard imports in India, depending on the specific product grade and exporter. This would make domestic paperboard more price-competitive, though packaging converters sourcing Indonesian material may see some cost increases that could be passed on to end customers.

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